Still, Slotkin faces a tough challenger in Barrett, an army vet who fought in Iraq and may play to voters in a manufacturing district as the safe choice. That has made Michigan’s seventh, and other races like it, so important: whereas single issues, other than the economy aren’t usually enough to turn an entire election, this year several key battleground states are fighting over whether to protect or ban abortion – and that might just be the issue that decides the races.Īs Slotkin puts it, if the Democrats can win districts in Michigan, the so-called swingiest of swing states, “We still have a path to winning the House.” They don’t want it.”Ī cross the country, the Democrats need to hold on to just a handful of congressional seats this year to keep a majority in the House of Representatives. They’re talking about how scared they are of a 1931 abortion ban coming back in Michigan. “Everywhere I go, Democrats, Independents and Republicans are talking about this issue. “I’ve never seen anything like it,” says Slotkin. She has held at least a six-point lead over Barrett ever since. The race had been neck-and-neck the whole time, but in September something strange happened: Slotkin surged by 18 points. Outside spending, generally, is a good barometer for how important a race is, with the largest amounts coming from the national parties – and in the case of the seventh, $27m has been poured into the race. But even with a mixed economy, rising inflation and unfavourable polling for the president, people are putting their money on Slotkin in huge numbers: the race for Michigan’s seventh, a newly drawn district pitting Slotkin against state senator Tom Barrett, has become the most expensive race in the country in terms of outside spending. She is also running in a midterm election full of twists and turns – one that has seen Democrats’ hopes to avoid the typically poor showing of the party in power begin to rise, only to plummet again. Slotkin is running in one of the country’s most tightly contested House seats, as a Democrat who won Trump voters back from the Republican party in both 20. She pauses, cautiously, and adds: “But I don’t believe that to be the case. Because it means I’m fundamentally out of touch.” “If it fails to pass, I won’t be re-elected. “Yes,” she answers, back to her usual, rapid-fire pace. Slotkin fidgets, stroking one thumb over the other, in a repetitive, soothing motion.
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